Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Smell Like Fish To You?

Is there something to the difference in crowd support and primary votes beyond the exclusion of Independents from many primaries? Do we need to ask ourselves:

Is Something Rotten in Denmark?  

I've just discovered this show on youtube, Redacted Tonight. Very funny while making some important points. Because we seek comic relief doesn't mean we don't take it seriously. But, hey, you gotta laugh, and that guy (above) makes me laugh.

So, what about those primary exit polls? No one really pays more than fleeting attention to them. Maybe we should attend them more closely, says Richard Charnin in today's NY Times online. Apparently this year's ballot/poll discrepancies are.. ahem.. quite a bit larger than normal.

Below is a response comment from his editorial page article about Bernie's effect on the Hillary campaign. Copied directly.

[RLS is a trusted commenter Virginia 40 minutes ago]
"The Editorial Board should be calling for a recount in some of the states. The probability that Sanders' vote share in the unadjusted exit polls has been GREATER than the recorded vote in 21 of 23 primaries is 1 in 30,000 according to Richard Charnin, a mathematician and author of two books on election fraud

The margin of error for exit polls is between 1% and 2.5%. The larger discrepancies (an exit poll was not taken in Arizona):

Georgia - 12.2%
Virginia- 4.3%
Massachusetts - 8.0%
Alabama -14.0%
Tennessee - 8.3%
Arkansas - 5.2%
Texas - 9.3%Michigan - 4.6%
Mississippi - 9.9%
Illinois - 4.1%
Missouri - 3.9%
Ohio - 10.0%
New York - 11.6%

Charnin’s blog posts on the April 26 states, New York, Wisconsin, Arizona, Michigan, March 15 states, and Super Tuesday states:

Election fraud is real. A group of citizen observers told Chicago Board of Elections officials at an April 5 meeting that BOE [Board of Elections] employees changed hand-counted tallies to match the recorded vote. This took place during an audit of 5% of the electronic machines as required by law in Illinois. One of the audit observers testifies at the 24-31 minute mark:

Election Board Scandal: 21 Bernie Votes Were Erased and 49 Hillary Votes Added to Audit Tally, Group Declares [Video]

RLS is a trusted commenter Virginia 
Why exit polls matter:

"Why should we care about exit poll results?

"When properly conducted, exit polls should predict election results with a high degree of reliability. Unlike telephone opinion polls that ask people which candidate they intend to vote for several days before the election, exit polls are surveys of voters conducted after they have cast their votes at their polling places.

"Around the world, exit polls have been used to verify the integrity of elections. The United States has funded exit polls in Eastern Europe to detect fraud. Discrepancies between exit polls and the official vote count have been used to successfully overturn election results in Ukraine, Serbia, and Georgia.

"Are exit polls data better than other polling data?

"Exit polls, properly conducted, can remove most sources of polling error. Unlike telephone polls, an exit poll will not be skewed by the fact that some groups of people tend not to be home in the evening or don’t own a landline telephone. Exit polls are not confounded by speculation about who will actually show up to vote, or by voters who decide to change their mind in the final moments. Rather, they identify the entire voting population in representative precincts and survey respondents immediately upon leaving the polling place about their votes."

Well, that's something, isn't it?

Is anyone going to check this out? Who's in charge of such things? If there's any truth to this, we are, as a nation, quite possibly doomed. That is, more doomed than Trump's candidacy spells doom.  Perhaps it's naive of us to believe otherwise. And yet we are appalled by the thought that the system could really be this corrupted. That we'e nothing but a nation of suckers still too comfortable to rebel in any meaningful way.

I've just finished watching a series on Netflix: "Occupied", a Norwegian tv series from the unfailingly interesting and adventurous production company Yellow Bird Productions. The premise is a Russian invasion of Norway, backed by the EU and condoned by the US, in order to prevent Norway from instituting an innovative green energy program that, if adopted by all, could save the planet (and their economy in the bargain). It's an interesting "fictitious" study of the insidiousness that can mask a nation's incremental compromise with evil, how easy for good people to fall prey to gradual erosion of human liberty until fascism  (the corporate state) reigns. 

What was that Sinclair Lewis book from the mid-twentieth century? "It Can't Happen Here".  Oh yeah, I remember... (from Wiki, the plot):

"In 1936 Senator Berzelius "Buzz" Windrip, a charismatic and power-hungry politician, wins the election as President of the United States on a populist platform, promising to restore the country to prosperity and greatness..... Portraying himself as a champion of traditional American values, Windrip easily defeats his opponents, Senator Walt Trowbridge and President Franklin Delano Roosevelt [the socialistic New Deal Dem]. Though having previously foreshadowed some authoritarian measures in order to reorganize the United States government, Windrip rapidly outlaws dissent, incarcerates political enemies in concentration camps, and trains and arms a paramilitary force called the Minute Men, who terrorize citizens and enforce the policies of Windrip and his "corporatist" regime. One of his first acts as president is to eliminate the influence of the United States Congress...."

Not to worry, folks. That's just fiction. It can't happen here. Not here. As Dylan reminded us long ago: We have God on our side.

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